Forexpros.com Daily Analysis - 09/12/2009

[forexpros]

Forexpros Daily Analysis Dec 9, 2009

Free Webinar On Forexpros: Using Time and Patterns to Pinpoint Entry and Exit Points

Hosted by: Raghee Horner of Auto Chartist
Thu, Dec 10, 2009, 08:00 EST/13:00 GMT

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Fundamental Analysis: Trade Balance Index

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the Trade Balance index report Tomorrow (Dec 10), which measures the difference in worth between exported and imported goods (exports minus imports).
This is the largest component of the US's balance of payments.
Export data gives a reflection on the US growth. Imports provide an indication of domestic demand. Because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports, it may have sizable affect on the USD.
Analysts expect tomorrow's Index to remain stable since last month, indicating a defacit of 36.50 Billions Dollars.

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[color=black]The Euro slightly surpassed the resistance 1.4844 before completely surrendering to the downtrend. It dropped and successfully reached the first target 1.4724, and came somehow close to the second target 1.4649 (the low until this very moment is 1.4667). In spite of this big drop, we still have not made it yet to Fibonacci 38.2% for the long term (for the rise from 1.3747) at 1.4610. Short-term support is at 1.4649, and breaking it would mean we will be targeting the above mentioned Fibonacci level first at 1.4610, and then the support area 1.4510/1.4518 that includes several daily bottoms. Short-term resistance is at the Asian session high 1.4734, breaking it would mean that the Euro will have a chance to catch a breath after this big drop. Breaking this resistance will target at least 1.4847, and may be 1.4903 as well.

Support: