Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

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EURUSD

The Euro continues to trend higher and posts fresh six-week highs, after break and close above the last barrier at 1.3710 opens way towards key resistance and annual high at 1.3831. The advance is supported by risk-on mode and positive sentiment that favors eventual push to 1.3831, as extension of the third wave from 1.3398 focuses its 138.2% expansion at 1.3786, as the wave could travel to 1.3852, 161.8% Fibonacci expansion, once the price clears key obstacle at 1.3831. Near-term studies are bullish but overbought that suggests hesitation on approach to the target, with immediate supports at 1.3733, session low / 20DMA and 1.3710/00, previous peak / round figure support / 55DMA. More significant supports lay at 1.3675, 05/12 peak / Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 1.3527/1.3767 upleg and 1.3650, higher platform / 50% retracement and 1.3620, previous congestion tops / Fibonacci 61.8%, where stronger pullbacks should find ground.

Res: 1.3767; 1.3789; 1.3800; 1.3852
Sup: 1.3733; 1.3700; 1.3650; 1.3620





GBPUSD

Cable completed near-term corrective phase, after fresh strength from 1.63 zone, where a higher base has been created, finally broke above previous high at 1.6441, posted on 02/12. Confirmation requires daily close above the latter, with immediate focus being shifted towards 1.6500, psychological barrier and the next target. Positive near-term technicals remain supportive, however, overbought hourly conditions may cause a delay in bull-run, towards initial support at 1.6417, session low / 20DMA and psychological 1.6400 support, also 04/05 / 12 highs and Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 1.6290/1.6466 upleg. Key near-term support lies at 1.6300 higher platform and only violation of this support would trigger stronger pullback and sideline bulls.

Res: 1.6466; 1.6500; 1.6550; 1.6571
Sup: 1.6417; 1.6400; 1.6368; 1.6322






USDJPY

The pair returned to strength, with extension of the upleg from 101.60 base, completing near-term corrective phase from 103.36 to 101.60. Cracking 103.36 barrier and 03/12 previous high, sees scope for eventual push towards key barrier at 103.72, 22/05 peak, to complete 103.72/93.78, short-term corrective phase and resume larger rally towards 104.20/50, next targets and psychological 105.00 barrier in extension. Positive tone prevails on near-term technicals, however, approaching overbought zone, suggests consolidative action ahead of 103.72 hurdle. Immediate supports lay at 103.15, 20DMA and 103.00, round figure support / 55DMA, ahead of 102.70, 38.2% retracement of 101.60/103.38 upleg and 102.50, 50% retracement, reinforced by ascending 4-hour 55DMA, where dips should find footstep.

Res: 103.38; 103.72; 104.00;
Sup: 103.15; 103.00; 102.70; 102.50





AUDUSD

Near-term price action got congested within 0.9070/0.9115 range, following corrective rally rejection at 0.9128 and subsequent pullback that is so far contained at 0.9070 zone. Weakening hourly studies see the downside at risk, with trigger of fresh weakness on a break below 0.9070, as 4-hour action is still capped by 55DMA and indicators start to point lower. Extension below 0.9070, near-term base, would signal top at 0.9128, with extension below 0.9040, Fibonacci 61.8% of 0.8988/0.9128 upleg, required to re-focus strong 0.9000 support zone. Alternative scenario required break above initial 0.9128 barrier and more significant 0.9145/69 hurdles, to bring bulls back in play and signal stronger recovery.

Res: 0.9116; 0.9128; 0.9145; 0.9169
Sup: 0.9070; 0.9058; 0.9041; 0.9000